ARIMA FORECASTING OF THE PREVALENCE OF ANEMIA IN CHILDREN IN YEMEN

Abstract

Using annual time series data on the prevalence of anemia in children under 5 years of age in Yemen from 1990 to“ 2016, the study makes predictions for the period 2017 to“ 2025. The study applies the Box-Jenkins ARIMA methodology. The diagnostic ADF tests show that, AY, the series under consideration is an I (2) variable. Based on the AIC, the study presents the ARIMA (1, 2, 0) model as the optimal mode