OPEN DEFECATION RESURGENCE IN TANZANIA? EARLY WARNING SIGNALS FROM THE BOX-JENKINS APPROACH

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DR. SMARTSON. P. NYONI
MR. THABANI NYONI

Abstract

Using annual time series data on the number of people who practice open defecation in Tanzania from 2000 – 2017, the study predicts the annual number of people who will still be practicing open defecation over the period 2018 – 2021. The study applies the Box-Jenkins ARIMA methodology. The diagnostic ADF tests show that the Q series under consideration is an I (2) variable. Based on the AIC, the study presents the ARIMA (0, 2, 2) model as the optimal model.

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DR. SMARTSON. P. NYONI, & MR. THABANI NYONI. (2021). OPEN DEFECATION RESURGENCE IN TANZANIA? EARLY WARNING SIGNALS FROM THE BOX-JENKINS APPROACH. JournalNX - A Multidisciplinary Peer Reviewed Journal, 6(10), 460–470. Retrieved from https://repo.journalnx.com/index.php/nx/article/view/308

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