OPEN DEFECATION RESURGENCE IN TANZANIA? EARLY WARNING SIGNALS FROM THE BOX-JENKINS APPROACH

Authors

  • DR. SMARTSON. P. NYONI ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  • MR. THABANI NYONI Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

Keywords:

Box-Jenkins ARIMA methodology

Abstract

Using annual time series data on the number of people who practice open defecation in Tanzania from 2000 – 2017, the study predicts the annual number of people who will still be practicing open defecation over the period 2018 – 2021. The study applies the Box-Jenkins ARIMA methodology. The diagnostic ADF tests show that the Q series under consideration is an I (2) variable. Based on the AIC, the study presents the ARIMA (0, 2, 2) model as the optimal model.

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Published

2021-01-22

Issue

Vol. 6 No. 10 (2020): journalnx

Section

Articles

License

Copyright (c) 2020 DR. SMARTSON. P. NYONI, MR. THABANI NYONI

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

How to Cite

OPEN DEFECATION RESURGENCE IN TANZANIA? EARLY WARNING SIGNALS FROM THE BOX-JENKINS APPROACH. (2021). JournalNX - A Multidisciplinary Peer Reviewed Journal, 6(10), 460-470. https://repo.journalnx.com/index.php/nx/article/view/308

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